Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Eintracht Braunschweig – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Fortuna Düsseldorf's attack at 0.88x the league average against Eintracht Braunschweig's defence at 1.33x — combine the two and it projects 1.73 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Eintracht Braunschweig's attack (0.77x) against Fortuna Düsseldorf's defence (1.12x) — and the away total comes out at 1.34.
These ratings are built from 48/48 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 12.2% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (9.3%), 1-2 (7.2%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win
45%
2.24
28%
3.64
28%
3.59
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.8%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
1 – 0
8.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.73
Fortuna Düsseldorf xG
Total xG
3.07
1.34
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
2.24
45%
Home win
3.64
28%
Draw
3.59
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.60
37%
BTTS No
2.68
Clean Sheet
26%
3.82
18%
5.63
Win to Nil
12%
8.54
5%
20.23
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 6.2 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.0 | 10.8 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 9.3 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.2%.
How many goals are Fortuna Düsseldorf and Eintracht Braunschweig expected to score?
The model projects 1.73 expected goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.34 for Eintracht Braunschweig, a combined total of 3.07.
How confident is the prediction model for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 45%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.