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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

17:30

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

28%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3.61

26%

Draw

3.78

46%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

Total xG

2.49

1.44

1. FC Nürnberg xG

28%
26%
46%
Fortuna DüsseldorfDraw1. FC Nürnberg

3.61

28%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.18

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

24%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4.20

35%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.86

Win to Nil

7%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

15.18

16%

1. FC Nürnberg

6.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 11.9 8.6 4.1 1.5 0.4
1 8.7 12.6 9.0 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 4.6 6.6 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 1.6 2.3 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.052
λ Away (xG) 1.435
Total xG 2.487
League avg home goals 1.370
League avg away goals 1.301
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 0.719
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.128
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 0.978
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 1.068
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41