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Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Magdeburg – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 20 Dec 2024

17:30

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Magdeburg Win

31%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3.26

27%

Draw

3.68

42%

1. FC Magdeburg

2.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

Total xG

3.25

1.76

1. FC Magdeburg xG

31%
27%
42%
Fortuna DüsseldorfDraw1. FC Magdeburg

3.26

31%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.38

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.96

Clean Sheet

17%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

5.80

23%

1. FC Magdeburg

4.43

Win to Nil

5%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

18.86

9%

1. FC Magdeburg

10.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 6.8 6.0 3.5 1.5 0.5
1 5.8 10.2 8.9 5.2 2.3 0.8
2 4.3 7.6 6.7 3.9 1.7 0.6
3 2.1 3.8 3.3 1.9 0.9 0.3
4 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.489
λ Away (xG) 1.757
Total xG 3.246
League avg home goals 1.530
League avg away goals 1.517
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 1.084
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.033
1. FC Magdeburg attack strength 1.121
1. FC Magdeburg defence strength 0.898
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50