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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 8 Aug 2026

12:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

FC St. Pauli Win

40%

FC St. Pauli

2.47

26%

Draw

3.83

33%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

2.87

1.35

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

40%
26%
33%
FC St. PauliDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.47

40%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

26%

FC St. Pauli

3.87

22%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4.54

Win to Nil

10%

FC St. Pauli

9.56

7%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

13.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 7.7 5.2 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 8.6 11.7 7.9 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.8 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.3 4.4 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.512
λ Away (xG) 1.353
Total xG 2.865
League avg home goals 1.746
League avg away goals 1.253
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.850
FC St. Pauli defence strength 1.150
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 0.939
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.019
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 34