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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Schalke 04 and Hannover 96 share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Veltins Arena, Regular Season - 26, as FC Schalke 04 and Hannover 96 drew 2-2 in the 2. Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Schalke 04 1.63 xG and Hannover 96 1.47 xG, a combined 3.10. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Schalke 04 attack 1.13 / defence 0.94 against Hannover 96 attack 1.16 / defence 0.95, drawn from 59/59 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Schalke 04 40% | Draw 26% | Hannover 96 33%, with FC Schalke 04 to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 60%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. Over 3.5 was 38% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 63% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Schalke 04 56%, Hannover 96 58%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Schalke 04's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did.

Hannover 96's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — FC Schalke 04 1.49 PPG, Hannover 96 1.63 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights