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FC Schalke 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

12:00

Venue

VELTINS-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Düsseldorf Win

21%

FC Schalke 04

4.77

23%

Draw

4.31

56%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

1.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

0 – 2

7.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

FC Schalke 04 xG

Total xG

3.57

2.22

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

21%
23%
56%
FC Schalke 04DrawFortuna Düsseldorf

4.77

21%

Home win

4.31

23%

Draw

1.79

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.48

33%

BTTS No

3.07

Clean Sheet

11%

FC Schalke 04

9.23

26%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3.83

Win to Nil

2%

FC Schalke 04

44.02

15%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

6.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 6.3 7.0 5.2 2.9 1.3
1 3.8 8.4 9.4 6.9 3.9 1.7
2 2.6 5.7 6.3 4.7 2.6 1.2
3 1.1 2.5 2.8 2.1 1.2 0.5
4 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.344
λ Away (xG) 2.223
Total xG 3.567
League avg home goals 1.506
League avg away goals 1.547
FC Schalke 04 attack strength 1.068
FC Schalke 04 defence strength 1.356
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 1.059
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 0.835
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49