🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Dominant Hannover 96 run riot with a 0-3 hammering of Eintracht Braunschweig.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Hannover 96 beat Eintracht Braunschweig 0-3 at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 10, in the 2. Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 1.44 xG and Hannover 96 1.85 xG, a combined 3.28. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. Eintracht Braunschweig fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Hannover 96 outscored their 1.85 projection by 1.2. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.96 / defence 1.25 against Hannover 96 attack 1.04 / defence 1.02, drawn from 43/43 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 30% | Draw 23% | Hannover 96 47%, with Hannover 96 to win its most likely call at 47%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 84% and landed. Over 3.5 was 42% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 54%, Hannover 96 51%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (43 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.

Hannover 96's trading profile (43 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Hannover 96 arrived the stronger side — 1.58 PPG against 1.14. Form held, and they took the win. Eintracht Braunschweig (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.38 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.62 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Hannover 96 (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.24 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.24 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights