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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Eintracht Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf finished level at 2-2 at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 32, in the 2. Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 1.41 xG and Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.49 xG, a combined 2.90. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.95 / defence 1.09 against Fortuna Düsseldorf attack 1.06 / defence 1.03, drawn from 65/65 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 35% | Draw 27% | Fortuna Düsseldorf 38%, with Fortuna Düsseldorf to win its most likely call at 38%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. Over 3.5 was 33% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 51%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 60%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (65 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did.

Fortuna Düsseldorf's trading profile (65 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Fortuna Düsseldorf arrived the stronger side — 1.71 PPG against 1.11. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Fortuna Düsseldorf (home/away splits) shipped 2 against a 1.19 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights