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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Eintracht Braunschweig and FC Saarbrücken share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Eintracht Braunschweig and FC Saarbrücken finished level at 2-2 at Eintracht-Stadion, Relegation Round, in the 2. Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 1.59 xG and FC Saarbrücken 1.42 xG, a combined 3.01. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.90 / defence 1.27 against FC Saarbrücken attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 68/0 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 40% | Draw 27% | FC Saarbrücken 33%, with Eintracht Braunschweig to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 58%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. Over 3.5 was 36% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 62% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 0% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 0%, FC Saarbrücken 0%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 0%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Form vs Result

On form, Eintracht Braunschweig arrived the stronger side — 3.00 PPG against 0.00. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Eintracht Braunschweig shipped 2 against a 0.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual. FC Saarbrücken scored 2 against a 0.00 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights