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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 30 Jan 2027

12:30

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

54%

1. FC Nürnberg

1.84

24%

Draw

4.11

21%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

2.85

1.05

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

54%
24%
21%
1. FC NürnbergDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth

1.84

54%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

4.69

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

35%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.85

17%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

6.04

Win to Nil

19%

1. FC Nürnberg

5.25

4%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

28.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.4 10.9 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.8 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.6 5.9 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.5 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.798
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 2.846
League avg home goals 1.746
League avg away goals 1.253
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 1.011
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 0.889
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 0.940
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.018
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34