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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 13 Feb 2027

12:30

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

51%

1. FC Nürnberg

1.95

25%

Draw

4.05

24%

Holstein Kiel

4.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

2.90

1.14

Holstein Kiel xG

51%
25%
24%
1. FC NürnbergDrawHolstein Kiel

1.95

51%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

4.15

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

32%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.14

17%

Holstein Kiel

5.80

Win to Nil

16%

1. FC Nürnberg

6.13

4%

Holstein Kiel

24.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 6.3 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.7 11.0 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.5 9.7 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.0 5.7 3.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 2.2 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.758
λ Away (xG) 1.143
Total xG 2.901
League avg home goals 1.746
League avg away goals 1.253
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 1.011
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 0.890
Holstein Kiel attack strength 1.025
Holstein Kiel defence strength 0.996
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34