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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hertha BSC Win

28%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.58

28%

Draw

3.55

44%

Hertha BSC

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

2.27

1.29

Hertha BSC xG

28%
28%
44%
1. FC NürnbergDrawHertha BSC

3.58

28%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

27%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.65

38%

Hertha BSC

2.65

Win to Nil

8%

1. FC Nürnberg

13.05

17%

Hertha BSC

6.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 13.4 8.7 3.7 1.2 0.3
1 10.1 13.0 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 4.9 6.3 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 1.6 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.973
λ Away (xG) 1.295
Total xG 2.268
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.283
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 0.877
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 0.917
Hertha BSC attack strength 1.100
Hertha BSC defence strength 0.830
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40