Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

12:00

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

42%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.40

28%

Draw

3.60

31%

Hamburger SV

3.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

2.90

1.33

Hamburger SV xG

42%
28%
31%
1. FC NürnbergDrawHamburger SV

2.40

42%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

3.27

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

27%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.77

21%

Hamburger SV

4.83

Win to Nil

11%

1. FC Nürnberg

9.06

6%

Hamburger SV

15.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 7.3 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.7 11.5 7.6 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 9.0 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.6 4.7 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.574
λ Away (xG) 1.327
Total xG 2.901
League avg home goals 1.487
League avg away goals 1.272
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 1.101
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 0.892
Hamburger SV attack strength 1.170
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.962
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61