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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 29 Aug 2026

12:30

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

55%

1. FC Nürnberg

1.81

24%

Draw

4.19

21%

Arminia Bielefeld

4.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

2.91

1.06

Arminia Bielefeld xG

55%
24%
21%
1. FC NürnbergDrawArminia Bielefeld

1.81

55%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

4.79

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

35%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.88

16%

Arminia Bielefeld

6.35

Win to Nil

19%

1. FC Nürnberg

5.21

3%

Arminia Bielefeld

30.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 5.8 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.1 10.7 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.8 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.848
λ Away (xG) 1.058
Total xG 2.906
League avg home goals 1.746
League avg away goals 1.253
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 1.012
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 0.888
Arminia Bielefeld attack strength 0.951
Arminia Bielefeld defence strength 1.047
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34