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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

12:30

Venue

RheinEnergieSTADION

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Köln Win

37%

1. FC Köln

2.73

29%

Draw

3.46

35%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

1. FC Köln xG

Total xG

2.76

1.36

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

37%
29%
35%
1. FC KölnDrawFortuna Düsseldorf

2.73

37%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

2.89

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.74

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

26%

1. FC Köln

3.88

25%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4.06

Win to Nil

9%

1. FC Köln

10.61

9%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

11.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 8.6 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 8.9 12.1 8.2 3.7 1.3 0.3
2 6.2 8.4 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.9 3.9 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.400
λ Away (xG) 1.356
Total xG 2.756
League avg home goals 1.462
League avg away goals 1.383
1. FC Köln attack strength 1.073
1. FC Köln defence strength 0.873
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 1.123
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 0.892
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 56