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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

12:30

Venue

RheinEnergieSTADION

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Köln Win

37%

1. FC Köln

2.72

28%

Draw

3.62

36%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

1. FC Köln xG

Total xG

3.34

1.66

1. FC Nürnberg xG

37%
28%
36%
1. FC KölnDraw1. FC Nürnberg

2.72

37%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.46

32%

BTTS No

3.15

Clean Sheet

19%

1. FC Köln

5.24

19%

1. FC Nürnberg

5.40

Win to Nil

7%

1. FC Köln

14.22

7%

1. FC Nürnberg

15.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 5.9 4.8 2.7 1.1 0.4
1 6.0 9.9 8.2 4.5 1.9 0.6
2 5.0 8.3 6.9 3.8 1.6 0.5
3 2.8 4.7 3.9 2.1 0.9 0.3
4 1.2 2.0 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.686
λ Away (xG) 1.656
Total xG 3.342
League avg home goals 1.534
League avg away goals 1.518
1. FC Köln attack strength 1.070
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.075
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 1.015
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 1.028
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 49