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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Saint Etienne Win

46%

Saint Etienne

2.17

23%

Draw

4.28

31%

Le Mans

3.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

3.12

1.38

Le Mans xG

46%
23%
31%
Saint EtienneDrawLe Mans

2.17

46%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

3.27

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.61

Clean Sheet

25%

Saint Etienne

3.97

17%

Le Mans

5.71

Win to Nil

12%

Saint Etienne

8.62

5%

Le Mans

18.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 6.1 4.2 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 7.7 10.6 7.3 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.7 9.2 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 3.9 5.4 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.7 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.743
λ Away (xG) 1.380
Total xG 3.123
League avg home goals 1.220
League avg away goals 1.270
Saint Etienne attack strength 1.206
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.177
Le Mans attack strength 0.923
Le Mans defence strength 1.185
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 9 / 9