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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Saint Etienne Win

62%

Saint Etienne

1.62

23%

Draw

4.29

15%

Bastia

6.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.0%

Home win

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

2.43

0.71

Bastia xG

62%
23%
15%
Saint EtienneDrawBastia

1.62

62%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

6.66

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

49%

Saint Etienne

2.03

18%

Bastia

5.60

Win to Nil

30%

Saint Etienne

3.30

3%

Bastia

37.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 6.2 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 15.1 10.7 3.8 0.9 0.2
2 13.0 9.2 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 7.5 5.3 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 3.2 2.3 0.8 0.2
5 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.722
λ Away (xG) 0.710
Total xG 2.432
League avg home goals 1.243
League avg away goals 1.172
Saint Etienne attack strength 1.438
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.170
Bastia attack strength 0.517
Bastia defence strength 0.964
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 49