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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Paul Lignon

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rodez Win

58%

Rodez

1.74

22%

Draw

4.64

21%

Caen

4.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Rodez xG

Total xG

3.10

1.11

Caen xG

58%
22%
21%
RodezDrawCaen

1.74

58%

Home win

4.64

22%

Draw

4.79

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

33%

Rodez

3.05

14%

Caen

7.28

Win to Nil

19%

Rodez

5.29

3%

Caen

34.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 5.0 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 9.0 10.0 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.9 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.9 6.5 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.9 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.985
λ Away (xG) 1.114
Total xG 3.099
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.039
Rodez attack strength 1.107
Rodez defence strength 1.154
Caen attack strength 0.929
Caen defence strength 1.277
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67