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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 20 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Paul-Lignon

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rodez Win

41%

Rodez

2.47

33%

Draw

3.04

27%

Bastia

3.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.7%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Rodez xG

Total xG

1.84

0.79

Bastia xG

41%
33%
27%
RodezDrawBastia

2.47

41%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

3.76

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.79

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

45%

Rodez

2.20

35%

Bastia

2.85

Win to Nil

18%

Rodez

5.43

9%

Bastia

10.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.9 12.6 5.0 1.3 0.3
1 16.7 13.2 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 8.7 6.9 2.7 0.7 0.1
3 3.1 2.4 1.0 0.3
4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.048
λ Away (xG) 0.789
Total xG 1.837
League avg home goals 1.120
League avg away goals 1.173
Rodez attack strength 0.985
Rodez defence strength 0.808
Bastia attack strength 0.832
Bastia defence strength 0.950
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 60