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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 24 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Paul Lignon

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rodez Win

64%

Rodez

1.57

21%

Draw

4.67

15%

Ajaccio

6.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

Rodez xG

Total xG

2.69

0.79

Ajaccio xG

64%
21%
15%
RodezDrawAjaccio

1.57

64%

Home win

4.67

21%

Draw

6.79

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

46%

Rodez

2.19

15%

Ajaccio

6.74

Win to Nil

29%

Rodez

3.44

2%

Ajaccio

45.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 5.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 12.9 10.1 4.0 1.0 0.2
2 12.3 9.7 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 7.8 6.2 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 3.7 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.908
λ Away (xG) 0.786
Total xG 2.694
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.014
Rodez attack strength 1.184
Rodez defence strength 1.240
Ajaccio attack strength 0.625
Ajaccio defence strength 1.243
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57