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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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RED Star FC 93 and Clermont Foot share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Stade Bauer, Regular Season - 15, as RED Star FC 93 and Clermont Foot drew 2-2 in the Ligue 2. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting RED Star FC 93 1.26 xG and Clermont Foot 0.94 xG, a combined 2.20. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Clermont Foot outscored their 0.94 projection by 1.1. Those figures were built on strength ratings of RED Star FC 93 attack 0.91 / defence 0.99 against Clermont Foot attack 0.79 / defence 1.07, drawn from 48/48 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it RED Star FC 93 44% | Draw 29% | Clermont Foot 28%, with RED Star FC 93 to win its most likely call at 44%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 38%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 64% and landed. Over 3.5 was 18% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 43% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (RED Star FC 93 48%, Clermont Foot 38%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

RED Star FC 93's trading profile (48 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and conceded here.

Clermont Foot's trading profile (48 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — RED Star FC 93 1.35 PPG, Clermont Foot 1.02 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. RED Star FC 93 (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.13 average — above their attacking norm. Clermont Foot (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.91 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights