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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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RED Star FC 93 and Clermont Foot share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

RED Star FC 93 and Clermont Foot finished level at 1-1 at Stade de Paris, Regular Season - 32, in the Ligue 2. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting RED Star FC 93 1.47 xG and Clermont Foot 0.96 xG, a combined 2.44. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of RED Star FC 93 attack 0.83 / defence 1.09 against Clermont Foot attack 0.80 / defence 1.28, drawn from 31/31 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it RED Star FC 93 49% | Draw 26% | Clermont Foot 25%, with RED Star FC 93 to win its most likely call at 49%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 70% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 42% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (RED Star FC 93 52%, Clermont Foot 32%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 48%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

RED Star FC 93's trading profile (31 games, 15 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did.

Clermont Foot's trading profile (31 games, 15 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — RED Star FC 93 1.13 PPG, Clermont Foot 0.90 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights