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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 6 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Marcel Picot

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

29%

Nancy

3.44

37%

Draw

2.70

34%

Montpellier

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

18.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

16.5%

Away win

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.79

Nancy xG

Total xG

1.67

0.88

Montpellier xG

29%
37%
34%
NancyDrawMontpellier

3.44

29%

Home win

2.70

37%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

50%

Over 1.5

2.00

50%

Under 1.5

2.00

23%

Over 2.5

4.35

77%

Under 2.5

1.30

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

3.01

67%

BTTS No

1.50

Clean Sheet

42%

Nancy

2.41

45%

Montpellier

2.21

Win to Nil

12%

Nancy

8.30

15%

Montpellier

6.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.8 16.5 7.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.9 13.1 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 5.9 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.1
3 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.3 0.3 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.791
λ Away (xG) 0.879
Total xG 1.670
League avg home goals 1.088
League avg away goals 1.173
Nancy attack strength 0.741
Nancy defence strength 1.152
Montpellier attack strength 0.650
Montpellier defence strength 0.981
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 25