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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Laval cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Nancy.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Laval beat Nancy 0-2 at Stade Marcel Picot, Regular Season - 14, in the Ligue 2. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Nancy 0.87 xG and Laval 0.79 xG, a combined 1.66. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Nancy fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Laval outscored their 0.79 projection by 1.2. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Nancy attack 0.71 / defence 0.93 against Laval attack 0.71 / defence 0.93, drawn from 13/46 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Nancy 35% | Draw 35% | Laval 30%, with Nancy to win its most likely call at 35%. The actual Laval win had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 23%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 49% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 32% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 38% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Nancy 46%, Laval 31%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 42%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Nancy's trading profile (13 games, 6 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 38% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 46% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Laval's trading profile (13 games, 6 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Nancy arrived the stronger side — 1.15 PPG against 0.69. Form was overturned, with Laval winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Nancy (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.83 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 0.83 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Laval (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.67 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights