🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Stalemate at Nancy's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Stade Marcel Picot, Regular Season - 24, as Nancy and Grenoble drew 0-0 in the Ligue 2. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Nancy 1.10 xG and Grenoble 1.48 xG, a combined 2.58. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Nancy fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Grenoble landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Nancy attack 0.79 / defence 1.25 against Grenoble attack 0.98 / defence 1.20, drawn from 23/57 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Nancy 28% | Draw 26% | Grenoble 46%, with Grenoble to win its most likely call at 46%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Nancy 52%, Grenoble 44%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Nancy's trading profile (23 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 44% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Grenoble's trading profile (23 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Nancy 1.09 PPG, Grenoble 1.17 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Nancy (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.82 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.27 average — tighter than their form line. Grenoble (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.27 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.64 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights