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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade de la Mosson

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Saint Etienne Win

32%

Montpellier

3.12

25%

Draw

3.94

43%

Saint Etienne

2.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Montpellier xG

Total xG

2.74

1.49

Saint Etienne xG

32%
25%
43%
MontpellierDrawSaint Etienne

3.12

32%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

2.35

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

23%

Montpellier

4.42

28%

Saint Etienne

3.51

Win to Nil

7%

Montpellier

13.80

12%

Saint Etienne

8.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 9.6 7.1 3.5 1.3 0.4
1 8.1 12.0 8.9 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 5.1 7.6 5.6 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.1 3.2 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.257
λ Away (xG) 1.487
Total xG 2.744
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 1.273
Montpellier attack strength 0.936
Montpellier defence strength 1.142
Saint Etienne attack strength 1.023
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.059
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 8 / 8