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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

13:00

Venue

Stade de la Mosson

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Mans Win

32%

Montpellier

3.16

25%

Draw

3.92

43%

Le Mans

2.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Montpellier xG

Total xG

2.72

1.48

Le Mans xG

32%
25%
43%
MontpellierDrawLe Mans

3.16

32%

Home win

3.92

25%

Draw

2.33

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

23%

Montpellier

4.40

29%

Le Mans

3.45

Win to Nil

7%

Montpellier

13.89

12%

Le Mans

8.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 9.8 7.2 3.6 1.3 0.4
1 8.2 12.1 9.0 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 5.0 7.5 5.5 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 2.1 3.1 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.238
λ Away (xG) 1.482
Total xG 2.720
League avg home goals 1.162
League avg away goals 1.212
Montpellier attack strength 1.093
Montpellier defence strength 1.083
Le Mans attack strength 1.129
Le Mans defence strength 0.975
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 22