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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Tue 23 Sep 2025

19:30

Venue

Stade de la Mosson

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Montpellier Win

54%

Montpellier

1.85

27%

Draw

3.65

18%

Boulogne

5.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Montpellier xG

Total xG

2.11

0.70

Boulogne xG

54%
27%
18%
MontpellierDrawBoulogne

1.85

54%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

5.41

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

50%

Montpellier

2.01

24%

Boulogne

4.09

Win to Nil

27%

Montpellier

3.71

5%

Boulogne

22.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 8.5 3.0 0.7 0.1
1 17.2 12.0 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 12.1 8.4 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 5.7 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.409
λ Away (xG) 0.697
Total xG 2.106
League avg home goals 1.255
League avg away goals 1.164
Montpellier attack strength 1.011
Montpellier defence strength 0.928
Boulogne attack strength 0.645
Boulogne defence strength 1.110
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 6 / 6