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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Montpellier Win
42%
2.36
33%
3.02
24%
4.09
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
18.3%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
17.9%
Draw
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.02
Montpellier xG
Total xG
1.72
0.70
Bastia xG
MontpellierDrawBastia
2.36
42%
Home win
3.02
33%
Draw
4.09
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
51%
Over 1.5
1.96
49%
Under 1.5
2.04
25%
Over 2.5
4.00
75%
Under 2.5
1.33
10%
Over 3.5
10.00
90%
Under 3.5
1.11
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
32%
BTTS Yes
3.11
68%
BTTS No
1.47
Clean Sheet
50%
2.01
36%
2.78
Win to Nil
21%
4.73
9%
11.40
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.9 | 12.5 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 18.3 | 12.8 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 9.4 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.024
λ Away (xG)
0.698
Total xG
1.722
League avg home goals
1.184
League avg away goals
1.143
Montpellier attack strength
0.909
Montpellier defence strength
1.010
Bastia attack strength
0.605
Bastia defence strength
0.951
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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