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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade de la Mosson

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Amiens Win

33%

Montpellier

3.06

27%

Draw

3.74

41%

Amiens

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Montpellier xG

Total xG

2.52

1.34

Amiens xG

33%
27%
41%
MontpellierDrawAmiens

3.06

33%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

26%

Montpellier

3.83

31%

Amiens

3.24

Win to Nil

9%

Montpellier

11.74

13%

Amiens

8.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 10.8 7.3 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.5 12.7 8.5 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.6 7.5 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.2 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.177
λ Away (xG) 1.344
Total xG 2.521
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.154
Montpellier attack strength 0.870
Montpellier defence strength 1.067
Amiens attack strength 1.091
Amiens defence strength 0.994
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 3 / 37