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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

13:00

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Metz Win

58%

Metz

1.73

24%

Draw

4.11

18%

PAU

5.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Metz xG

Total xG

2.44

0.79

PAU xG

58%
24%
18%
MetzDrawPAU

1.73

58%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

5.64

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

45%

Metz

2.20

19%

PAU

5.21

Win to Nil

26%

Metz

3.80

3%

PAU

29.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 6.9 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 14.4 11.4 4.5 1.2 0.2
2 11.9 9.4 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 6.5 5.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 2.7 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.651
λ Away (xG) 0.789
Total xG 2.440
League avg home goals 1.356
League avg away goals 1.047
Metz attack strength 1.083
Metz defence strength 0.867
PAU attack strength 0.869
PAU defence strength 1.124
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 54