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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Metz Win

66%

Metz

1.52

22%

Draw

4.63

13%

Ajaccio

7.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.0%

Home win

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Metz xG

Total xG

2.49

0.65

Ajaccio xG

66%
22%
13%
MetzDrawAjaccio

1.52

66%

Home win

4.63

22%

Draw

7.96

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

52%

Metz

1.92

16%

Ajaccio

6.29

Win to Nil

34%

Metz

2.92

2%

Ajaccio

50.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 15.2 9.9 3.2 0.7 0.1
2 14.0 9.1 3.0 0.6 0.1
3 8.6 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 3.9 2.6 0.8 0.2
5 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.839
λ Away (xG) 0.653
Total xG 2.492
League avg home goals 1.234
League avg away goals 1.054
Metz attack strength 1.309
Metz defence strength 0.823
Ajaccio attack strength 0.753
Ajaccio defence strength 1.139
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 61