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Lorient vs Paris FC – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

13:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris FC Win

35%

Lorient

2.84

27%

Draw

3.75

38%

Paris FC

2.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Lorient xG

Total xG

2.55

1.30

Paris FC xG

35%
27%
38%
LorientDrawParis FC

2.84

35%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

2.63

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

27%

Lorient

3.68

29%

Paris FC

3.47

Win to Nil

10%

Lorient

10.43

11%

Paris FC

9.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 10.2 6.6 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 9.8 12.7 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.1 7.9 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.5 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.244
λ Away (xG) 1.302
Total xG 2.546
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 0.997
Lorient attack strength 1.448
Lorient defence strength 1.075
Paris FC attack strength 1.215
Paris FC defence strength 0.620
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 53