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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

62%

Lorient

1.61

23%

Draw

4.36

15%

Metz

6.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.6%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Lorient xG

Total xG

2.56

0.75

Metz xG

62%
23%
15%
LorientDrawMetz

1.61

62%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

6.76

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

47%

Lorient

2.12

16%

Metz

6.10

Win to Nil

29%

Lorient

3.41

2%

Metz

41.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 5.8 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 14.0 10.5 4.0 1.0 0.2
2 12.6 9.5 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 7.6 5.7 2.2 0.5 0.1
4 3.4 2.6 1.0 0.2
5 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.809
λ Away (xG) 0.753
Total xG 2.562
League avg home goals 1.325
League avg away goals 1.037
Lorient attack strength 1.465
Lorient defence strength 0.934
Metz attack strength 0.777
Metz defence strength 0.931
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 17