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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Mon 18 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Marie-Marvingt

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Mans Win

45%

Le Mans

2.22

28%

Draw

3.56

27%

Montpellier

3.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Le Mans xG

Total xG

2.59

1.10

Montpellier xG

45%
28%
27%
Le MansDrawMontpellier

2.22

45%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

3.71

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

33%

Le Mans

3.01

23%

Montpellier

4.44

Win to Nil

15%

Le Mans

6.69

6%

Montpellier

16.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 8.3 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.2 12.3 6.8 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.2 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.1 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.490
λ Away (xG) 1.102
Total xG 2.592
League avg home goals 1.486
League avg away goals 1.127
Le Mans attack strength 0.872
Le Mans defence strength 1.150
Montpellier attack strength 0.850
Montpellier defence strength 1.150
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 1