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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 23 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Stade Marie-Marvingt

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guingamp Win

34%

Le Mans

2.96

32%

Draw

3.14

34%

Guingamp

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

14.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Le Mans xG

Total xG

1.90

0.96

Guingamp xG

34%
32%
34%
Le MansDrawGuingamp

2.96

34%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

2.90

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.66

62%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

38%

Le Mans

2.61

39%

Guingamp

2.57

Win to Nil

13%

Le Mans

7.73

13%

Guingamp

7.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.9 14.3 6.8 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 14.1 13.5 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 6.7 6.4 3.1 1.0 0.2
3 2.1 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.944
λ Away (xG) 0.958
Total xG 1.902
League avg home goals 1.156
League avg away goals 1.197
Le Mans attack strength 0.754
Le Mans defence strength 0.751
Guingamp attack strength 1.064
Guingamp defence strength 1.083
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 57