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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 24 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Marie-Marvingt

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Boulogne Win

33%

Le Mans

3.02

29%

Draw

3.43

38%

Boulogne

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.7%

Away win

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Le Mans xG

Total xG

2.20

1.15

Boulogne xG

33%
29%
38%
Le MansDrawBoulogne

3.02

33%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

32%

Le Mans

3.14

35%

Boulogne

2.86

Win to Nil

11%

Le Mans

9.49

13%

Boulogne

7.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1 12.7 7.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.7 13.4 7.7 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.1 7.0 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.2 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.052
λ Away (xG) 1.145
Total xG 2.197
League avg home goals 1.207
League avg away goals 1.285
Le Mans attack strength 0.860
Le Mans defence strength 1.038
Boulogne attack strength 0.858
Boulogne defence strength 1.013
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 10 / 10