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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Fri 22 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Marie-Marvingt

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

31%

Le Mans

3.19

29%

Draw

3.47

40%

Bastia

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Le Mans xG

Total xG

2.55

1.37

Bastia xG

31%
29%
40%
Le MansDrawBastia

3.19

31%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

26%

Le Mans

3.92

31%

Bastia

3.27

Win to Nil

8%

Le Mans

12.50

12%

Bastia

8.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 10.6 7.3 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.2 12.6 8.6 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.5 7.5 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.2 3.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.186
λ Away (xG) 1.366
Total xG 2.552
League avg home goals 1.470
League avg away goals 1.156
Le Mans attack strength 0.812
Le Mans defence strength 1.264
Bastia attack strength 0.935
Bastia defence strength 0.994
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 35