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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 16 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Francis Le Basser

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Laval Win

37%

Laval

2.71

32%

Draw

3.10

31%

Bastia

3.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

0 – 1

13.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Laval xG

Total xG

1.85

0.87

Bastia xG

37%
32%
31%
LavalDrawBastia

2.71

37%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.24

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.75

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

42%

Laval

2.39

37%

Bastia

2.68

Win to Nil

15%

Laval

6.47

12%

Bastia

8.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.6 13.6 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 15.4 13.4 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 7.6 6.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
3 2.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.984
λ Away (xG) 0.871
Total xG 1.855
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.181
Laval attack strength 0.777
Laval defence strength 1.095
Bastia attack strength 0.673
Bastia defence strength 0.989
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 51