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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Guingamp cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Laval.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Guingamp beat Laval 2-0 at Stade du Roudourou, Regular Season - 28, in the Ligue 2. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Guingamp 1.24 xG and Laval 1.08 xG, a combined 2.32. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Laval landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Guingamp attack 1.09 / defence 1.04 against Laval attack 1.00 / defence 0.84, drawn from 65/65 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Guingamp 40% | Draw 28% | Laval 32%, with Guingamp to win its most likely call at 40%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 67% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Guingamp 52%, Laval 42%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Guingamp's trading profile (65 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 42% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and duly kept one.

Laval's trading profile (65 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 26% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Guingamp 1.48 PPG, Laval 1.51 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Guingamp win broke the near-deadlock. Guingamp (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.09 average — tighter than their form line. Laval (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.19 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 0.88 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights