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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade des Alpes

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grenoble Win

49%

Grenoble

2.04

30%

Draw

3.37

21%

Bastia

4.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.0%

Draw

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Grenoble xG

Total xG

1.96

0.72

Bastia xG

49%
30%
21%
GrenobleDrawBastia

2.04

49%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

4.68

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.74

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

49%

Grenoble

2.05

29%

Bastia

3.48

Win to Nil

24%

Grenoble

4.19

6%

Bastia

16.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.0 10.1 3.6 0.9 0.2
1 17.5 12.5 4.5 1.1 0.2
2 10.9 7.8 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 4.5 3.2 1.2 0.3
4 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.246
λ Away (xG) 0.717
Total xG 1.963
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.233
Grenoble attack strength 0.950
Grenoble defence strength 1.089
Bastia attack strength 0.534
Bastia defence strength 1.031
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41