Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 3 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade des Alpes

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grenoble Win

41%

Grenoble

2.46

32%

Draw

3.10

27%

Bastia

3.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.7%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.1%

Draw

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Grenoble xG

Total xG

1.83

0.79

Bastia xG

41%
32%
27%
GrenobleDrawBastia

2.46

41%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.68

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.84

65%

BTTS No

1.54

Clean Sheet

45%

Grenoble

2.20

35%

Bastia

2.82

Win to Nil

18%

Grenoble

5.43

10%

Bastia

10.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.1 12.7 5.0 1.3 0.3
1 16.7 13.2 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 8.7 6.8 2.7 0.7 0.1
3 3.0 2.4 0.9 0.2
4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.037
λ Away (xG) 0.790
Total xG 1.827
League avg home goals 1.407
League avg away goals 0.975
Grenoble attack strength 0.854
Grenoble defence strength 0.960
Bastia attack strength 0.844
Bastia defence strength 0.863
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54