Grenoble 0-0 Annecy – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Grenoble at 55% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Grenoble vs Annecy encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Grenoble host Annecy at Stade des Alpes in Ligue 2, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is scheduled for Tuesday 29 October 2024 at 19:30 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Grenoble stand at 5W 1D 4L from 10 Ligue 2 matches — 1.60 PPG. Last five: L W L W L. Offensively they are averaging 1.70 goals per game, with 1.10 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Grenoble, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Grenoble at Stade des Alpes this season: 5W 3D 2L from 10 home games — 1.80 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Across all Ligue 2 games this season, Annecy have recorded 5W 3D 2L from 10 outings — 1.80 PPG. Last five: W D W L W. They are scoring at 1.80 per game and conceding 1.30. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. This season is still relatively young for Annecy, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Ligue 2 this season, Annecy have posted 4W 4D 2L from 10 away outings — 1.60 PPG. They are averaging 1.90 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
There is minimal separation in the form figures — Grenoble at 1.60 PPG versus Annecy's 1.80. The form guide is not providing a strong directional steer; the model and market data will carry more weight in the final assessment.
Head to Head
The historical ledger comes down firmly in favour of Grenoble: 3 wins from 4 previous clashes against 0 for Annecy, with 1 draws across those contests.
These sides have historically produced few goals — 1.2 per contest from 4 previous meetings. The Under 2.5 market has a well-supported historical case here. The most recent clash, on 20 Apr 2024, ended 1–0 with Grenoble winning.
The historical record gives Grenoble a meaningful edge here — 3 wins from 4 meetings is the kind of ledger that should not be discounted when the form picture is inconclusive. Even away from home, the visitors have struggled to impose themselves in this fixture.
In-Play Profile
Grenoble in-play tendencies (48 games, 24 at home): they score before half-time in 62% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 46% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (home games); they fail to score in 33% of games.
Annecy in-play tendencies (48 games, 24 at away): they score before half-time in 62% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 69% of the time; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Grenoble 48% versus Annecy 56%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Grenoble 48% | Annecy 58%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Grenoble 1.96 xG and Annecy 1.22 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Grenoble attack 1.194 / defence 0.830 | Annecy attack 1.289 / defence 1.158. League average goals — home 1.421 / away 1.139. Annecy have an above-average attack strength of 1.289 — the away xG of 1.22 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 48 Grenoble games / 48 Annecy games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Grenoble 55% | Draw 22% | Annecy 23%. Fair-value odds: Grenoble 1.82 | Draw 4.55 | Annecy 4.35. The model has a clear lean to Grenoble (55%) — a 32pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 62% | BTTS probability 61% | Total xG 3.18. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 62% — the 3.18 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 61% reflects that both xG figures (1.96 / 1.22) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Grenoble are the pick at 55% — clear model lean. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 22% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
The Poisson model projects 3.18 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 62% — marginal — conflicting signals confidence, supported by form averaging 2.8 goals per game — though H2H averaging only 1.2 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 61% on Yes. Form rates corroborate: Grenoble 50% | Annecy 70% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Grenoble vs Annecy | Competition: Ligue 2, Regular Season - 11 | Venue: Stade des Alpes • Kick-off: Tuesday 29 Oct 2024, 19:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Grenoble 55% | Draw 22% | Annecy 23% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 62% | BTTS 61% | xG Grenoble 1.96 / Annecy 1.22 • Poisson strength factors: Grenoble attack 1.194 / def 0.830 | Annecy attack 1.289 / def 1.158 | league avg home 1.421 / away 1.139 • Poisson stance: Grenoble (55%) — strong lean
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
1.96
Grenoble xG
Expected Goals
1.22
Annecy xG
61%
BTTS
83%
Over 1.5
62%
Over 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Grenoble vs Annecy kick off?
Grenoble vs Annecy kicked off at 19:30 on Tuesday 29 October 2024 at Stade des Alpes.
What was the final score in Grenoble vs Annecy?
Grenoble 0 - 0 Annecy.
Where is Grenoble vs Annecy being played?
The match is being played at Stade des Alpes.
What competition is Grenoble vs Annecy part of?
Grenoble vs Annecy is a Regular Season - 11 fixture in the Ligue 2 (France).
Who is favourite to win Grenoble vs Annecy?
Our statistical model gives Grenoble a 55% chance of winning, Annecy a 23% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw — making Grenoble the favourite.
Will both teams score in Grenoble vs Annecy?
Our model estimates a 61% probability that both Grenoble and Annecy will score (BTTS).
Will Grenoble vs Annecy have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 62%.
What is the head-to-head record between Grenoble and Annecy?
Record (4 meetings): Grenoble 3W | Draws 1 | Annecy 0W.
What form are Grenoble and Annecy in?
Grenoble (all comps): 5W-1D-4L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.70 / GA 1.10 | L5 L-W-L-W-L. Annecy (all comps): 5W-3D-2L in 10 | 1.80 PPG | GF 1.80 / GA 1.30 | L5 W-D-W-L-W.
What do the betting odds say about Grenoble vs Annecy?
Odds data is not currently available for this fixture.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates Grenoble's attack at 1.19x the league average against Annecy's defence at 1.16x — combine the two and it projects 1.96 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Annecy's attack versus Grenoble's defence, projects 1.22 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 48/48 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 11.2% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (9.7%), 2-0 (8.0%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Grenoble Win
55%
1.83
22%
4.58
23%
4.27
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.9%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
1 – 0
8.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.96
Grenoble xG
Total xG
3.18
1.22
Annecy xG
1.83
55%
Home win
4.58
22%
Draw
4.27
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
62%
Over 2.5
1.61
38%
Under 2.5
2.63
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.53
Clean Sheet
30%
3.38
14%
7.13
Win to Nil
16%
6.18
3%
30.43
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.2 | 9.9 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 9.7 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.2 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Grenoble vs Annecy?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.2%.
How many goals are Grenoble and Annecy expected to score?
The model projects 1.96 expected goals for Grenoble and 1.22 for Annecy, a combined total of 3.18.
How confident is the prediction model for Grenoble vs Annecy?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 55%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Grenoble come into this having played 48 games, going 18W 13D 17L for 1.40 points per game. Their last five reads L-W-L-W-L. The sample for Grenoble is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Annecy sit at 1.33 PPG from 48 outings (17W 13D 18L), a run that reads W-D-W-L-W across their last five. The sample for Annecy is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: Grenoble on 1.40 PPG, Annecy on 1.33. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
Grenoble's home form reads 11W 8D 5L across 24 games on their own ground, a 1.71 PPG return.
Away from home, Annecy have taken 1.29 points per game from 24 outings (8W 7D 9L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Grenoble come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Grenoble are averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game recently; Annecy are on 1.40 scored and 1.31 conceded.
Last 48 Results — Ligue 2
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Grenoble
Blended
Annecy
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Grenoble and Annecy in coming into this match?
Grenoble have gone 18W 13D 17L in their last 48 games (1.40 PPG), while Annecy have gone 17W 13D 18L in their last 48 (1.33 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Grenoble at home or Annecy away?
Grenoble's home record (1.71 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Grenoble at home: 1.71 PPG; Annecy away: 1.29 PPG.
Have Grenoble or Annecy been keeping clean sheets recently?
Grenoble have kept a clean sheet in 31% of their recent games, Annecy in 31%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
8 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to August 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Ligue 2. They last met on 6 February 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Streaks & Records
Grenoble's record when hosting Annecy specifically: 2W 1D 1L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 8 Meetings
3
Grenoble
3
Draws
2
Annecy
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Grenoble and Annecy?
From 8 meetings on record, Grenoble have won 3, Annecy have won 2, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Grenoble and Annecy last play each other?
They last met on 6 February 2026, when Annecy 1-1 Grenoble.
Who has won more matches between Grenoble and Annecy?
Grenoble have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Grenoble are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 38% of the time.
Annecy are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Grenoble 46%, Annecy 62% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 46% (Grenoble) and 62% (Annecy).
On the defensive side: Grenoble keep a clean sheet in 38% of their matches; Grenoble have failed to score in 33% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Grenoble home games / Annecy away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Grenoble play Annecy?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 46% of Grenoble's recent matches and 62% of Annecy's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Grenoble vs Annecy usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 46% of Grenoble's recent games and 62% of Annecy's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Grenoble and Annecy tend to score early?
Grenoble have had a goal before half-time in 62% of their recent matches, Annecy in 62% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Grenoble's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Grenoble and Annecy finished level at 0-0 at Stade des Alpes, Regular Season - 11, in the Ligue 2. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Grenoble 1.96 xG and Annecy 1.22 xG, a combined 3.18. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Grenoble fell 2.0 short of their projected output. Annecy landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Grenoble attack 1.19 / defence 0.83 against Annecy attack 1.29 / defence 1.16, drawn from 48/48 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Grenoble 55% | Draw 22% | Annecy 23%, with Grenoble to win its most likely call at 55%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 22% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 62%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 83% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Grenoble 48%, Annecy 58%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Grenoble's trading profile (48 games, 24 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Annecy's trading profile (48 games, 24 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Grenoble 1.40 PPG, Annecy 1.33 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Grenoble (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.42 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Annecy (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.50 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.33 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.