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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade de l'Aube

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

43%

Estac Troyes

2.32

30%

Draw

3.37

27%

Nancy

3.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Estac Troyes xG

Total xG

2.09

0.89

Nancy xG

43%
30%
27%
Estac TroyesDrawNancy

2.32

43%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

3.67

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

41%

Estac Troyes

2.44

30%

Nancy

3.33

Win to Nil

18%

Estac Troyes

5.66

8%

Nancy

12.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 11.0 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 14.8 13.2 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.9 7.9 3.5 1.1 0.2
3 3.6 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.202
λ Away (xG) 0.892
Total xG 2.094
League avg home goals 1.310
League avg away goals 1.098
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.987
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.811
Nancy attack strength 1.001
Nancy defence strength 0.930
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 4