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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 14 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade de l'Aube

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

50%

Estac Troyes

2.00

28%

Draw

3.58

22%

Lorient

4.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Estac Troyes xG

Total xG

2.16

0.80

Lorient xG

50%
28%
22%
Estac TroyesDrawLorient

2.00

50%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

4.53

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

45%

Estac Troyes

2.23

26%

Lorient

3.89

Win to Nil

22%

Estac Troyes

4.46

6%

Lorient

17.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 9.2 3.7 1.0 0.2
1 15.7 12.6 5.0 1.3 0.3
2 10.6 8.5 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 4.8 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.358
λ Away (xG) 0.801
Total xG 2.159
League avg home goals 1.270
League avg away goals 1.041
Estac Troyes attack strength 1.045
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.868
Lorient attack strength 0.886
Lorient defence strength 1.024
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 22