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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Fri 25 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade de l'Aube

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

45%

Estac Troyes

2.22

29%

Draw

3.45

26%

Dunkerque

3.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Estac Troyes xG

Total xG

2.13

0.88

Dunkerque xG

45%
29%
26%
Estac TroyesDrawDunkerque

2.22

45%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

3.85

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

42%

Estac Troyes

2.41

29%

Dunkerque

3.50

Win to Nil

19%

Estac Troyes

5.35

7%

Dunkerque

13.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 10.4 4.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 14.9 13.1 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 8.2 3.6 1.1 0.2
3 3.9 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.254
λ Away (xG) 0.879
Total xG 2.133
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.100
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.834
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.869
Dunkerque attack strength 0.920
Dunkerque defence strength 1.083
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69