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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Marcel-Tribut

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dunkerque Win

60%

Dunkerque

1.67

24%

Draw

4.20

16%

Lorient

6.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.2%

Home win

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Dunkerque xG

Total xG

2.52

0.78

Lorient xG

60%
24%
16%
DunkerqueDrawLorient

1.67

60%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

6.19

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

46%

Dunkerque

2.18

18%

Lorient

5.70

Win to Nil

28%

Dunkerque

3.63

3%

Lorient

35.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 6.3 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 14.0 10.9 4.3 1.1 0.2
2 12.2 9.5 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 7.1 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 3.1 2.4 0.9 0.2
5 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.741
λ Away (xG) 0.780
Total xG 2.521
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.013
Dunkerque attack strength 1.190
Dunkerque defence strength 0.958
Lorient attack strength 0.803
Lorient defence strength 1.102
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 18