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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Marcel Tribut

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

35%

Dunkerque

2.86

27%

Draw

3.68

38%

Estac Troyes

2.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Dunkerque xG

Total xG

2.47

1.26

Estac Troyes xG

35%
27%
38%
DunkerqueDrawEstac Troyes

2.86

35%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.64

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

28%

Dunkerque

3.54

30%

Estac Troyes

3.33

Win to Nil

10%

Dunkerque

10.15

11%

Estac Troyes

8.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 10.7 6.8 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.2 12.9 8.2 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.1 7.8 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.5 3.1 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.203
λ Away (xG) 1.265
Total xG 2.468
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.154
Dunkerque attack strength 1.058
Dunkerque defence strength 1.237
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.886
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.835
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37