Most Likely Outcome
Clermont Foot Win
35%
2.83
31%
3.23
34%
2.96
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.0%
Home win
0 – 1
10.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.22
Clermont Foot xG
Total xG
2.40
1.19
Nancy xG
Clermont FootDrawNancy
2.83
35%
Home win
3.23
31%
Draw
2.96
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
1.98
50%
BTTS No
2.02
Clean Sheet
31%
3.27
30%
3.37
Win to Nil
11%
9.27
10%
9.97
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1 | 10.8 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 13.1 | 7.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.215
λ Away (xG)
1.185
Total xG
2.400
League avg home goals
1.369
League avg away goals
1.258
Clermont Foot attack strength
0.926
Clermont Foot defence strength
0.940
Nancy attack strength
1.002
Nancy defence strength
0.959
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
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